Seismic fragility curves for greek bridges: methodology and case studies   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：1  

Ioannis F. Moschonas  Andreas J. Kappos  Panagiotis Panetsos  Vissarion Papadopoulos  Triantafyllos Makarios  Pavlos Thanopoulos 《Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering》2009,7(2):439-468

This study focusses on the estimation of seismic fragility curves for all common bridge types found in modern greek motorways. At first a classification scheme is developed in order to classify the existing bridges into a sufficient number of classes. A total of 11 representative bridge classes resulted, based on the type of piers, deck, and pier-to-deck connection. Then an analytical methodology for deriving fragility curves is proposed and applied to the representative bridge models. This procedure is based on pushover analysis of the entire bridge and definition of damage states in terms of parameters of the bridge pushover curves. The procedure differentiates the way of defining damage according to the seismic energy dissipation mechanism in each bridge, i.e. bridges with yielding piers of the column type and bridges with bearings (with or without seismic links) and non-yielding piers of the wall type. The activation of the abutment-backfill system due to closure of the gap between the deck and the abutments is also taken into account. The derived fragility curves are subjected to a first calibration against empirical curves based on damage data from the US and Japan.  相似文献   

人类活动胁迫下岩溶含水层脆弱性分析   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

路洪海 《热带地理》2004,24(3):212-215

从水文地质本身的内部要素分析岩溶含水层高度脆弱的原因,详细论述了农业活动、工业和城市化以及矿山开采等对岩溶含水层脆弱性的影响,认为人类活动的叠加无疑加剧了岩溶含水层的脆弱性,并在很大程度上影响着地下水的水质、水量.因此,合理规范人类活动,减少人类活动对环境的污染,是岩溶地下水资源可持续利用的保证.  相似文献   

四川省城市地震灾害脆弱性综合评价研究   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

李琳  王俊杰 《震灾防御技术》2018,13(4):968-977

城市化进程的不断推进使得城市的地震灾害脆弱性日益加剧,而城市承灾体的脆弱性受复杂因素影响。本文针对评价指标受主观性影响较大的问题,基于人口、工程、经济及社会4个方面,构建了城市震害综合脆弱性评价指标体系;并构建基于实码加速遗传算法优化投影寻踪（RAGA-PP）的城市震害脆弱性评价模型;最后,对四川省21个市、州进行了震害脆弱性评价。结果表明:巴中、南充等地脆弱性较高,成都、攀枝花等地脆弱性较低;经济因素对城市震害脆弱性影响较大;该评价模型能够克服人为主观性,有效可行。  相似文献   

基于情境感知和序列模式挖掘的气象学习资源推荐算法     

王帅  马景奕  周远洋  王甫棣 《气象科技》2024,52(1):37-44

随着互联网的快速发展,气象部门职工作为学习者可以获得的学习资源得到极大丰富。信息超载导致检索合适的在线学习资源时遇到了困难;学习者在不同学习环境和序列访问模式上也有不同的学习需求。但是,现有的推荐系统,如基于内容的推荐和协同过滤,没有结合学习者的情境和序列访问模式,推荐结果准确度不高。本文提出了一种结合情境感知、序列模式挖掘和协同过滤算法的混合推荐算法来为学习者推荐学习资源。混合推荐算法中,情境感知被用来整合学习者的情境信息,如知识水平和学习目标;序列模式挖掘被用来对网络日志进行挖掘,发现学习者的序列访问模式;协同过滤被用来根据学习者的情境数据和序列访问模式为目标学习者计算预测并生成建议。实验和应用效果表明,该混合推荐算法推荐的质量和准确性方面优于其他推荐算法。  相似文献   

Use of alternative conceptual models to assess the impact of a buried valley on groundwater vulnerability   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：1  

Dorte Seifert  Torben O. Sonnenborg  Peter Scharling  Klaus Hinsby 《Hydrogeology Journal》2008,16(4):659-674

A buried valley incised into a sequence of pre-Quaternary sediments is shown to seriously affect the vulnerability of groundwater. Often the existence of buried valleys is not known or is not described explicitly in a hydrogeological model. In the present study, two numerical groundwater models, representing two alternative conceptual models, were produced to help quantify the effect of the valley on groundwater vulnerability. One model included the buried valley and the other did not. Both models were subjected to calibration and were found to describe hydraulic head and river discharge equally well. Even though the two models showed similar calibration statistics; fluxes, travel paths and travel times were affected by the inclusion of the buried valley. The recharge area and the groundwater age of potential abstraction wells placed in the pre-Quaternary deep aquifers surrounding the buried valley were different for the two models, with significantly higher vulnerability when the valley was included in the model. Based on the results of the present study, it is concluded that a buried valley may not always be detectable when calibrating a wrong conceptual model. If reliable results should be obtained a good geological model has to be constructed.  相似文献   

Flood risk management in Central Viet Nam: challenges and potentials     

Phong Tran  Fausto Marincioni  Rajib Shaw  Massimo Sarti  Le Van An 《Natural Hazards》2008,46(1):119-138

This article explores the impacts of floods on the economy, environment, and society and tries to clarify the rural community’s coping mechanism to flood disasters in Central Viet Nam. It focuses on the social aspects of flood risk perception that shapes the responses to floods. The research findings revealed that flooding is an essential element for a coastal population, whose livelihood depend on productive functions of cyclical floods. The findings also revealed that floods, causing losses and damages, often inhibited economic development. The surveyed communities appeared to have evolved coping mechanisms to reduce the negative impacts of the floods, yet these coping mechanisms are under pressure due to environmental degradation. Integrated flood risk management is considered as a suitable paradigm for coping with flood disasters.

Phong TranEmail:

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Complexity theory, spatial simulation models, and land use dynamics in the Northern Ecuadorian Amazon     

Stephen J. Walsh  Joseph P. Messina 《Geoforum》2008,39(2):867-878

Our research questions and analytical approaches are used to examine coupled human-natural systems in the Northern Ecuadorian Amazon. They are based on complexity theory and extend from our earlier work in Cellular Automata (CA) in which land use/land cover (LULC) change patterns were spatially simulated to examine deforestation and agricultural extensification on household farms. The basic intent is to understand linkages between people and the environment by explicitly considering pattern-process relationships and the nature of feedback mechanisms among social, biophysical, and geographical factors that influence LULC dynamics within the study area. In this research, we describe how our CA modeling approach emphasizes the human dimensions of LULC change by including socio-economic and demographic characteristics at the household-level along with biophysical data that describe the resource endowments of farms, geographic accessibility of farms to roads and communities, and the evolving nature of human-environment interactions over time and space in response to exogenous and endogenous factors.A LULC change scenario is examined by comparing model outcomes generated for a base CA model and an alternative CA model to explore the effects of increases in household income on land use change patterns at the farm level, achieved as a consequence of improved geographic accessibility to roads and communities and increased off-farm employment as a household livelihood strategy. Growth or transitions rules in our CA model, as well as neighborhood associations are sensitive to socio-economic and demographic factors of households, resource endowments of farms, geographic accessibility, and the uncertainty associated with peasant farming in a frontier setting. Model outcomes indicate that increases in household income are associated with more land in pasture and more land being cultivated for crops as a result of greater access to agricultural markets. In addition, more land in secondary forest succession occurs as a consequence of greater access to roads and communities, thereby, affording a better opportunity for off-farm employment and greater levels of household income.  相似文献   

一种改进的空间上下文点云分类方法     

何鄂龙  王红平  陈奇  刘修国 《测绘学报》2017,46(3):362-370

考虑到点云数据具有线性分布和密度不均匀的特点,以及现有复杂场景点云分类方法中缺少对非局部空间上下文信息的有效利用,提出了一种改进的空间上下文点云分类方法。该方法在提取点云数据顾及曲率的自适应邻域的基础上,首先估算点云局部特征与依赖性空间上下文,并基于超级体素提取分布性空间上下文,最后采用高阶条件随机场模型,实现对点云数据的自动分类,避免了利用单一点云局部特征分类的局限性。试验结果表明,本文方法能够有效提高点云数据地物分类精度。  相似文献   

A context-sensitive correlated random walk: a new simulation model for movement     

Sean C. Ahearn  Achara Simcharoen  Glenn Xavier  James L.D. Smith 《International journal of geographical information science》2017,31(5):867-883

Computational Movement Analysis focuses on the characterization of the trajectory of individuals across space and time. Various analytic techniques, including but not limited to random walks, Brownian motion models, and step selection functions have been used for modeling movement. These fall under the rubric of signal models which are divided into deterministic and stochastic models. The difficulty of applying these models to the movement of dynamic objects (e.g. animals, humans, vehicles) is that the spatiotemporal signal produced by their trajectories a complex composite that is influenced by the Geography through which they move (i.e. the network or the physiography of the terrain), their behavioral state (i.e. hungry, going to work, shopping, tourism, etc.), and their interactions with other individuals. This signal reflects multiple scales of behavior from the local choices to the global objectives that drive movement. In this research, we propose a stochastic simulation model that incorporates contextual factors (i.e. environmental conditions) that affect local choices along its movement trajectory. We show how actual global positioning systems observations can be used to parameterize movement and validate movement models and argue that incorporating context is essential in modeling movement.  相似文献   

长江经济带区域合作的格局与演变   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

王磊  段学军  杨清可 《地理科学》2017,37(12):1841-1849

梳理区域合作的政治经济环境演变,试图对长江经济带区域合作的主体、主题、形式和发展水平等进行综合分析。流域管治事务复杂,部门管理与行政区管理交叉,造就了区域合作模式多样与发展水平差异。经济带在长江防洪、大通关和检疫等方面的合作发展迅速,而在水资源环境、港口岸线、基础设施和生态补偿等方面的信息共享和合作平台建设仍发展缓慢。长三角已经建立了覆盖全、层次多、主题丰富的区域合作机制;由于国家长期对成渝经济区的推崇,两地在区域性项目建设上合作密切;中游四省合作发展水平相对最低,缺乏强有力的中心城市引领,地区竞争大于合作激励。  相似文献